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Koralai Kirabaeva


Working papers:

  • Foreign Direct Investment and Liquidity Risk
abstract: This paper develops a general equilibrium model which analyzes the composition of investments (direct vs portfolio) across two countries in the presence of liquidity shocks and asymmetric information about investment productivity. The model compares the liquidity benefits of portfolio investments with the benefits from private information of direct investments. The equilibrium prices of direct and portfolio investments depend not only on the expected payoff but also on investors’ liquidity preferences and uncertainty about the investment productivity. There are two types of equilibria. In the first type, only investors from country with lower liquidity risk choose to hold direct investments. In the second type, investors from both countries hold direct investments. In this case, there is a possibility of multiple equilibria due to strategic complementarity which generates self-fulfilling expectations. I address the effects of increasing the liquidity risk in the host country on the composition of foreign investments. On one hand, this increases the preference for liquidity, which leads to a smaller share of foreign direct investments. On the other hand, it may reduce the adverse selection problem associated with direct investments, which leads to a larger share of direct investments. Overall, depending on the equilibrium type, an increase in the liquidity risk may result in an
increase of foreign direct investment and a decrease of foreign portfolio investment.

presented at:
Cornell-PennState Macro Workshop, PennState University, March 2008
International Economics workshop, Cornell University, March 2008

abstract: This paper presents a general equilibrium model that explains how the presence of ambiguity about asset returns affects equilibrium prices and international portfolio holdings. In particular, I show that if there is a difference in beliefs about perceived uncertainty then it will lead to bias in portfolio holdings. My model allows to quantify the effect of ambiguity and ambiguity attitude on the portfolio holdings and asset prices and derives an upper bound on the degree of ambiguity aversion for participation in financial markets. I investigate whether the equity home bias observed in data can be explained by intermediate degrees of ambiguity aversion.

presented at:
Midwest Economics Association Annual Meeting,
Chicago, March 2008
SABE Conference, NYU, May 2007 (best graduate student paper award)
Cornell-PennState Macro Workshop, PennState University, April 2007

 





Contact Information

449A Uris Hall
Cornell University
Department of Economics Ithaca NY 14853